Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000134 0.000154 0.000178 0.000204 0.000231 0.000262
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000111 0.000140 0.000174 0.000214 0.000257 0.000309
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000101 0.000134 0.000176 0.000224 0.000280 0.000346
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000092 0.000129 0.000176 0.000234 0.000302 0.000384
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000084 0.000123 0.000176 0.000241 0.000318 0.000414
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000074 0.000115 0.000171 0.000242 0.000327 0.000436
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000071 0.000115 0.000176 0.000255 0.000352 0.000475
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000032 0.000063 0.000107 0.000170 0.000254 0.000357 0.000492
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000028 0.000059 0.000104 0.000171 0.000261 0.000373 0.000521
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000024 0.000054 0.000100 0.000169 0.000264 0.000385 0.000544
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000022 0.000053 0.000102 0.000175 0.000278 0.000409 0.000584
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000020 0.000050 0.000100 0.000177 0.000285 0.000425 0.000613
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000016 0.000045 0.000094 0.000172 0.000285 0.000432 0.000633
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000013 0.000041 0.000090 0.000171 0.000290 0.000447 0.000662
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000011 0.000038 0.000087 0.000171 0.000294 0.000460 0.000690
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000010 0.000036 0.000086 0.000173 0.000303 0.000480 0.000725
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000008 0.000033 0.000083 0.000171 0.000306 0.000491 0.000750
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000006 0.000029 0.000078 0.000167 0.000305 0.000496 0.000767
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000005 0.000028 0.000079 0.000172 0.000318 0.000521 0.000809
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000004 0.000025 0.000074 0.000166 0.000314 0.000523 0.000822
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000003 0.000023 0.000072 0.000167 0.000320 0.000538 0.000852
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000021 0.000070 0.000165 0.000323 0.000549 0.000875
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000021 0.000071 0.000171 0.000337 0.000575 0.000921